Number 23

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

9times drawn · chance expected 13 −1.24σ

15draws waiting · a wait this long: 23% for any number

12.4average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

36longest completed wait · 18% chance of one at least that long

23 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 9 times in 133 draws against 13.3 expected, −1.24σ. Each draw is independent: after 15 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 23, draw by draw

Drawn 9 times in 133 draws · average wait 12.4 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 15 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.7
2nd smallest2 · chance 2.7
3rd smallest4 · chance 3.4
4th smallest3 · chance 1.8
5th smallest0 · chance 0.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

14 33 49 5 6 9

Never drawn alongside 25 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 24 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 23 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2014-06-20	36	3rd	6 10 23 33 41
2013-10-11	10	3rd	2 11 23 29 34
2013-08-02	5	2nd	14 23 29 33 37
2013-06-28	1	3rd	6 8

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.