Number 46

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

8times drawn · chance expected 13 −1.53σ

36draws waiting · a wait this long: 3% for any number

13.7average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

24longest completed wait · 48% chance of one at least that long

46 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 8 times in 133 draws against 13.3 expected, −1.53σ. Each draw is independent: after 36 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 46, draw by draw

Drawn 8 times in 133 draws · average wait 13.7 draws · longest completed wait 24 · waiting 36 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 46 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest1 · chance 0.2
4th smallest3 · chance 2.1
5th smallest4 · chance 5.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

25 41 48 49 1 3

Never drawn alongside 22 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 26 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 46 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 46 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2014-01-24	13	5th	4 28 30 36 46
2013-10-25	19	5th	9 25 39 41 46
2013-06-14	16	3rd	1 25 46 47 48
2013-02-22	24	4th	3 13

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 46 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.