Number 28

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

14times drawn · chance expected 13 +0.20σ

20draws waiting · a wait this long: 14% for any number

7.8average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

27longest completed wait · 58% chance of one at least that long

28 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 14 times in 133 draws against 13.3 expected, +0.20σ. Each draw is independent: after 20 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 28, draw by draw

Drawn 14 times in 133 draws · average wait 7.8 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 20 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 28 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.5
2nd smallest6 · chance 2.7
3rd smallest5 · chance 5.4
4th smallest3 · chance 4.3
5th smallest0 · chance 1.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

9 19 34 42 4 13

Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 16 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 28 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 28 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2014-05-16	6	2nd	9 28 36 42 43
2014-04-04	7	3rd	10 16 28 30 33
2014-02-14	3	4th	19 21 22 28 45
2014-01-24	6	2nd	4 28

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 28 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.