Number 19

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

17times drawn · chance expected 13 +1.07σ

6draws waiting · a wait this long: 59% for any number

7.8average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

18longest completed wait · 95% chance of one at least that long

19 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 17 times in 133 draws against 13.3 expected, +1.07σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 19, draw by draw

Drawn 17 times in 133 draws · average wait 7.8 draws · longest completed wait 18 · waiting 6 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 19 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest3 · chance 2.5
2nd smallest4 · chance 6.5
3rd smallest6 · chance 5.7
4th smallest4 · chance 2.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

40 7 18 22 28 5

Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 12 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 19 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 19 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2014-08-22	2	1st	19 20 40 42 47
2014-08-08	9	2nd	15 19 21 34 40
2014-06-06	16	3rd	6 9 19 37 38
2014-02-14	9	1st	19 21

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 19 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.