Number 49

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

16times drawn · chance expected 13 +0.78σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

7.9average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

24longest completed wait · 75% chance of one at least that long

49 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 16 times in 133 draws against 13.3 expected, +0.78σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 49, draw by draw

Drawn 16 times in 133 draws · average wait 7.9 draws · longest completed wait 24 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 49 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest1 · chance 1.3
5th smallest15 · chance 14.7

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

6 23 32 33 41 44

Never drawn alongside 12 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 13 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 49 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 49 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2014-10-03	24	5th	8 15 34 44 49
2014-04-18	10	5th	12 32 40 44 49
2014-02-07	8	5th	16 18 20 36 49
2013-12-13	17	5th	9 19

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 49 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.