Number 8

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

15times drawn · chance expected 13 +0.49σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

9.4average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

23longest completed wait · 77% chance of one at least that long

8 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 15 times in 133 draws against 13.3 expected, +0.49σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 8, draw by draw

Drawn 15 times in 133 draws · average wait 9.4 draws · longest completed wait 23 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 8 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest7 · chance 7.9
2nd smallest8 · chance 5.7
3rd smallest0 · chance 1.3
4th smallest0 · chance 0.1
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

18 22 1 5 32 33

Never drawn alongside 17 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 8 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 8 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2014-10-03	1	1st	8 15 34 44 49
2014-09-26	4	1st	8 26 32 44 50
2014-08-29	11	2nd	1 8 9 12 37
2014-06-13	12	2nd	1 8

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 8 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.