Number 47

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

13times drawn · chance expected 13 −0.09σ

6draws waiting · a wait this long: 59% for any number

9.9average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

39longest completed wait · 20% chance of one at least that long

47 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 13 times in 133 draws against 13.3 expected, −0.09σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 47, draw by draw

Drawn 13 times in 133 draws · average wait 9.9 draws · longest completed wait 39 · waiting 6 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 47 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.2
4th smallest3 · chance 2.8
5th smallest10 · chance 10.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

38 1 10 25 33 14

Never drawn alongside 16 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 17 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 47 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 47 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2014-08-22	1	5th	19 20 40 42 47
2014-08-15	2	5th	17 38 41 43 47
2014-08-01	1	5th	5 18 33 38 47
2014-07-25	9	5th	3 10

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 47 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.