Number 48

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

9times drawn · chance expected 13 −1.24σ

23draws waiting · a wait this long: 10% for any number

11.1average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

23longest completed wait · 56% chance of one at least that long

48 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 9 times in 133 draws against 13.3 expected, −1.24σ. Each draw is independent: after 23 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 48, draw by draw

Drawn 9 times in 133 draws · average wait 11.1 draws · longest completed wait 23 · waiting 23 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 48 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 1.4
5th smallest9 · chance 7.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

7 1 6 14 16 19

Never drawn alongside 24 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 24 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 48 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 48 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2014-04-25	23	5th	4 7 10 39 48
2013-11-15	6	5th	3 19 32 43 48
2013-10-04	12	5th	1 7 16 21 48
2013-07-12	4	5th	7 27

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 48 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.