Number 2

In Texas Two Step under the 5/35 · Feb 2022 – Nov 2022 rules — 75 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

8times drawn · chance expected 11 −0.90σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 73% for any number

9.9average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

26longest completed wait · 14% chance of one at least that long

2 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 8 times in 75 draws against 10.7 expected, −0.90σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 2, draw by draw

Drawn 8 times in 75 draws · average wait 9.9 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest5 · chance 7.1
2nd smallest3 · chance 0.9
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1 8 3 4 7 10

Never drawn alongside 13 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 13 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 2 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-11-10	16	1st	2 3 23 31 34
2022-09-05	7	2nd	1 2 4 10 25
2022-08-11	8	1st	2 7 10 16 30
2022-07-14	2	2nd	1 2

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.